Volume and Open Interest suggesting an accumulation in USDINR

USDINR futures prices were seen consolidating while  volumes  and OI were seen increasing suggesting accumulation.

Appreciating AUD heading towards 1.3774 against US Dollar

USDAUD has turned lower sharply after correcting 61.8% Fib. Retracement level to the rally started from 11th of  Jan’19 suggesting that overall weakness is still intact.

oThe upper band of the Bollinger band is seen moving lower in line with the lower band suggesting negative momentum is in place.

oAt momentum front both RSI (14Pd ) and Stochastic (14/3/3) are seen turning lower after testing equilibrium region supporting the negative bias.

oGoing ahead USDAUD is likely to hold below 1.1413 and trade lower towards 1.3774.

Is Advance/Decline Ratio suggesting sharp fall ahead in NIFTY??

 As seen in the chart Nifty-50 is seen moving higher since the last week but advance decline ratio is seen moving the other way suggesting a correction in nifty in coming days.

CME Gold Futures Vs Dollar Index.

CME GOLD Futures Vs US Dollar index as seen in the chart are usually inversely related to each other. But both were seen moving in tandem  with each other suggesting safe heaven buying on the wake of global slowdown concerns.

WTI Crude oil likely to find resistance at $ 55.00

WTI Crude oil prices are seen trading 

higher since 26th Dec’18 after finding support at USD 42.36.

Prices are currently at the upper band of the Bollinger and previous falls consolidation range.

Also momentum indicator Stochastic (14/3/3) is seen in overbought region suggesting a correction in coming days.

Going ahead prices at resistance and momentum in overbought region prices are likely to find resistance at 54.50-55.00 and turn lower again towards 50.

USDINR has resistance at 71.50 prices

USDINR spot prices is at middle band of the Bollinger after trading higher in the last two weeks. USDINR has resistance at 71.50 prices are likely to hold below it and trade lower towards 70.70 in the coming 1-2 sessions.

Price, Open interest & Volume analysis on USDINR

USDINR Jan futures prices, volume and OI were slightly down in the last three days after  four days of rally suggesting that profit booking is in place.

Asian equities are trading cautiously but on a positive front as investors tried to digest China

• Asian equities are trading cautiously but on a positive front as investors tried to digest China quarterly GDP numbers, although the GDP growth was in line with the Reuters poll of 6.4%(YoY), but the levels were similar to the growth seen during global financial crisis in early 2009 despite constant easing by fiscal and monetary authorities.

• US Treasury yields stretched its gains as the investors risk appetite returned with the hopes for a thaw in US-China trade tensions. But a prolonged US Government partial shutdown is keeping a lid on gains in Dollar Index.

• Britain Prime Minister Theresa May will present the Brexit plan-B today at 8.00PM IST after her Plan-A beaten down by a historic margin.

• PBOC fixed the Yuan reference rate at 6.7774 per dollar Vs 6.7665.

• Indian Rupee opened at 71.36 a dollar and is expected to trade between 71.10 – 71.50 range for the day.

• US markets will remain closed today on account of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.